After an Informal Summit of the Organization of Turkic States (OTS) in Budapest, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan made a bold statement: he does not intend to run for another presidential term. The announcement came as a surprise, considering Erdogan's political career has spanned over two decades. 

“I do not plan to be re-elected or to run for office again. What matters to us is how we can elevate the reputation of our country. Turkey is changing, the world is changing. We are living in a new era,” Erdogan told reporters.

A New Chapter or a Political Maneuver?

At first glance, Erdogan’s statement appears to be an act of political maturity — a leader ready to step aside and pass the torch to a new generation. However, analysts suggest this may be part of a broader strategic plan.

Erdogan has repeatedly demonstrated an ability to reshape the country’s political system to fit his goals. It was under his leadership that Turkey transitioned from a parliamentary to a presidential system. The 2017 constitutional reform significantly expanded his powers, and despite growing criticism and economic challenges, he reaffirmed his authority in the 2023 elections.

The question of Erdogan’s potential re-election may ultimately depend not on political principles, but on legal nuance: if a new constitution is adopted, current term limits could be "reset." This would allow Erdogan to run again — under a new legal framework.

A Constitution “by the People, Not by Coup Plotters”

The president emphasized the urgent need for comprehensive constitutional reform. According to Erdogan, the current Turkish constitution, drafted after the 1980 military coup, still reflects a mindset rooted in military rule.

“The country needs a civilian constitution. A law created by the people, not by conspirators,” Erdogan declared.

His ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) has already begun work on a new constitution. Erdogan called on opposition forces to participate in the process, suggesting the formation of joint commissions to prepare a civilian constitution for public consideration.

However, critics warn that under the guise of a “civilian constitution,” Turkey could receive an even more centralized power structure — potentially laying the legal groundwork for the continuation of the Erdogan era.

No Snap Elections

Despite all the current political shifts, Erdogan ruled out the possibility of early parliamentary elections. This means Turkey’s political structure is expected to remain intact — at least officially — in the coming years.

What Comes Next?

Erdogan’s speech was not merely a farewell address from a departing politician. It was a message — to allies and opponents alike. He may be grooming a successor, laying the groundwork for a possible return, or genuinely preparing to end his career on his own terms.

One thing is clear: Turkish politics is entering a new era, and in it, Erdogan’s presence — whether direct or indirect — will remain pivotal.

 

Expert Group CCBS

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22.05.2025 12:28