Growing Public Discontent in Russia Amid War and Economic Challenges

Public
dissatisfaction in Russia continues to grow as the war against Ukraine drags
on, the economic situation deteriorates, and domestic challenges intensify.
Recent data from both state-run and independent polling organizations indicate
a gradual decline in support for the Russian authorities and a rise in critical
public sentiment.
According
to the independent Levada Center,
President Vladimir Putin's approval rating fell to 74% in June, down from 79% the previous
month, marking the sharpest monthly decline in recent years. At the same time,
the state-run Russian Public
Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) and the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM)
also recorded the most significant weekly drop in presidential approval and
trust ratings since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
According to FOM, Putin's approval rating declined to 66%, while the level of public trust
fell to 67%, the lowest
figures recorded since February 2022.
Public
dissatisfaction with government policies is also increasing. According to a
VTsIOM survey, the share of Russians expressing dissatisfaction with the
country's foreign policy has reached its highest level in nearly two decades.
FOM surveys also show a growing number of citizens who regularly encounter
criticism of the authorities within their social circles.
One of
the primary drivers behind changing public attitudes has been the worsening
economic situation. During the summer of 2026, Russia experienced a fuel crisis
caused by reduced refinery output following Ukrainian drone strikes on
oil-processing facilities, logistical disruptions, and the impact of
international sanctions. Several regions reported fuel shortages, long queues
at gas stations, and even fuel rationing. At the same time, prices for food and
essential goods continue to rise, while high interest rates are placing
additional pressure on businesses and households.
Another
contributing factor has been the increasing frequency of Ukrainian drone
attacks on Russian territory. Almost daily airport closures, mobile internet
disruptions, and interruptions to transportation services are increasingly
affecting residents in central Russia. Whereas the consequences of the war were
previously felt mainly in border regions, they have now become part of everyday
life for millions of Russians.
Another
reason for growing public frustration is the lack of prospects for a rapid end
to the conflict. After more than four years of fighting, war fatigue is
becoming increasingly evident, while hopes for a diplomatic settlement have
diminished considerably. According to many analysts, public priorities are
gradually shifting away from foreign policy toward concerns about living
standards, personal security, and economic stability.
Although official approval ratings for
Russia's leadership remain relatively high by international standards, recent
trends point to a gradual accumulation of public dissatisfaction. Notably,
declining approval is being recorded not only by independent polling
organizations but also by state-run sociological institutions, which have traditionally
reported higher levels of support for the government.
The Kremlin's greatest vulnerability now lies in the convergence of several factors: the prolonged war, rising living costs, fuel shortages, regular attacks on Russian territory, and growing uncertainty about the future. While these developments have not yet resulted in large-scale public protests, they are significantly increasing social frustration. According to experts, if economic difficulties and domestic security challenges persist throughout the second half of 2026, the Russian authorities could face further declines in public trust and may be forced to rely more heavily on social support measures and information campaigns to maintain domestic stability.
CCBS Expert Group
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13 Oct 2026


